What is the impact of 'La Nina' on Southwest Monsoon predictions in India
Likelihood of missing Southwest Monsoon projections due to the absence of La Nina effect.
The presence or absence of La Nina greatly influences the Southwest Monsoon predictions in India. Here are some key points to consider regarding the impact of La Nina on Southwest Monsoon predictions and the likelihood of missing projections without it:
- La Nina leads to cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific, which can enhance monsoonal circulation and bring above-average rainfall to India.
- Without the cooling effect of La Nina, monsoonal patterns may be less predictable, leading to challenges in forecasting the Southwest Monsoon.
- The absence of La Nina can result in weaker monsoonal winds, affecting the distribution and intensity of rainfall across different regions of India.
- Forecasting models heavily rely on factors like sea surface temperatures, meaning the absence of La Nina can potentially lead to missed projections.
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8 months ago