Warming oceans in the Arabian Sea are primarily caused by climate change, including the increase in greenhouse gases and the resulting global temperature rise. This warming affects Arabian Sea cyclone forecasts in the following ways: 1. Increased sea surface temperatures: Warmer oceans increase the energy available for cyclone formation. Higher sea surface temperatures provide favorable conditions for cyclones to intensify rapidly, making it challenging to predict their strength and track accurately. 2. Altered atmospheric patterns: Warming oceans disrupt atmospheric circulation patterns, leading to changes in wind patterns and vertical wind shear. This makes it difficult to forecast the direction and intensity of Arabian Sea cyclones accurately. 3. Amplified rainfall and storm surge: Warming oceans can enhance rainfall associated with cyclones. This can lead to increased flooding and storm surge along coastal regions. Accurate forecasting of these impacts is crucial for effective preparedness and response. Overall, the warming of the Arabian Sea challenges cyclone forecasts due to the complex interactions between the ocean, atmosphere, and climate change. Understanding these impacts is essential for improving forecasting models and mitigating the risks associated with cyclones.