What are the key factors behind India likely to get a normal monsoon after the summer heat wave

Skymet predicts India is likely to get a normal monsoon after the summer heat wave.
Key factors contributing to India's likelihood of a normal monsoon after the summer heat wave, as predicted by Skymet, include:
  • Neutral ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) conditions, which don't heavily influence monsoon patterns
  • Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions favouring better rainfall
  • Forecasted cooling of the Pacific Ocean, reducing chances of El Niño development, which can disrupt monsoon
  • Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the equatorial central Pacific, promoting good monsoon rain
  • Dynamic weather systems like Madden-Julian Oscillation and atmospheric conditions supporting monsoon performance
These conditions combined contribute to the expectation of a normal monsoon following the summer heat wave in India.
Answered a year ago
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